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The global small caliber ammunition market size was valued at USD 7.90 billion in 2021. The market is projected to grow from USD 8.00 billion in 2022 to USD 9.41 billion by 2029, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.35% during the forecast period. The global COVID-19 pandemic has been unprecedented and staggering, with small caliber ammunition experiencing lower-than-anticipated demand across all regions compared to pre-pandemic levels. Based on our analysis, the global market exhibited a decline of -3.95% in 2020 as compared to 2019.
Small caliber ammunition is the combination of cartridges and bullets fired or dispersed from a weapon, particularly from a gun. It contains gunpowder and primers for blastoff or explosion. These are the canisters used with fuses, boosting charges used in different gun types, small arms, and artillery. Such ammunition is produced utilizing a diversity of materials such as brass, steel, and others. The increase in the procurement of ammunition by the armed forces, local enforcement agencies, and border security forces is driving the market. Furthermore, the surging usage of ammunition for sports and hunting activities in North America, especially in the United States, is expected to propel the development of the market growth across the region.
Defense Industry Witnessed Steady Growth Owing to COVID-19 Pandemic
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has moderately impacted the defense and commercial ammunition industry, but the market research has showcased moderate growth in 2020 & 2021 and is anticipated to propel during the forecast period.
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Growing Demand for Environment-Friendly Ammunition Leads to Development of Green Ammunition
Nowadays, companies and military agencies are looking forward to designing and developing environment-friendly ammunition. In an effort to protect the ecosystem, the U.S. army has been involved in the designing and development of biodegradable bullets, with its focus being on reducing soil contamination. The hazardous materials used in ammunition, such as lead, create soil contamination; hence, companies and government agencies are focusing on eliminating lead by using polymer-cased ammunition. This also reduces the weight and costs of ammunition for guns.
For instance, in July 2020, according to U.S. Army Publication, the U.S. Army was searching for ammunition solutions to comply with lead contamination-associated environmental regulations. The Army Research Laboratory of Combat Capabilities Development Command and Purdue University are involved in the development process of environment-friendly primary explosives with its application in small, medium, and large-caliber ammunition and gun propellant ammunition.
Development of Advanced Tracer Ammunition and Frangible Ammunition Drive the Market Growth
Ammunition is often designed and developed by considering its applications in mind. In the current decade, the design and development of advanced ammunition such as copper FMJ (copper full metal jacketed), frangible ammunition, and tracer ammunition. Copper or zinc full metal jacketed ammunition is used for commercial, military, and homeland defense applications where accuracy plays a great role. Frangible ammunition is mostly used for Close-Quarter Military Battle (CQB) training for self or homeland defense. It is mostly used for shoot-to-injure applications in military and homeland security operations. These are non-toxic in nature, have less muzzle velocity, and are lightweight.
Tracer ammunition is also gaining popularity in the armed forces. In this, the bullet travels through the air, emits an intense light, trails smoke, and helps to see the bullet’s path. These types of ammunition were recently used by the military and civilians for a better shooting experience. For instance, in September 2021, Ammo Inc. was awarded a contract to design and manufacture SoT (signature-on-target) tracer ammunition to support military operations by the U.S. Department of Defense.
Increasing Usage of Guns for Personal Safety to Propel Market Growth
Small caliber ammunition is majorly used for civilian applications such as sports shooting, hunting, personal safety, and others. Increasing instances of mass shootings, especially in the U.S. and Australia, growing terrorism activities, and rising demand from defense forces are driving the market growth. In August 2020, there was a shooting incident in a social gathering at 3,300 blocks of Dubois Place southeast that killed a girl and injured 19 other people. Handguns are used primarily by military officers and policemen as sidearms. The U.S. has a huge market for civilian firearms, and thus, there is a rise in demand for the ammunition necessary for pistols and revolvers.
In addition, an upsurge in the manufacturing of handguns, shotguns, light machine guns, short-range rifles, and large gun imports and exports across the globe are also aiding the growth of the market. Furthermore, the growing number of mass shooting instances every year in the U.S. has heightened personal security concerns among citizens. As per the data released by Gun Violence Archives (GVA), there were 366 mass shooting incidents recorded in the U.S. till November 2019 that killed 406 people.
Military Modernization Programs in Major Countries to Boost Market Growth
The rising threat of terrorist activities, political unrest across the globe, and geopolitical tensions in the Asian and Middle Eastern countries have led to the procurement of next-generation ammunition and associated equipment to enhance the defense capabilities of countries. An increase in ammunition procurement and military modernization programs in several countries, such as China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, and India, is boosting the growth of the market.
Military spending for R&D activities and increasing ammunition procurement contracts have significantly surged across the world, specifically in the U.S. Increasing defense budgets of developing countries for enhancing military strength is auguring well for this market. For example, in the defense budget 2020, the U.S. Department of Defense allotted USD 201.6 million for the procurement of small ammunition for the U.S. Army. These factors will drive the small caliber ammunition market growth.
Differences in Economic, Legal, and Political Regulations to Restrict Growth
Governmental rules & regulations regarding the ownership of guns and ammunition vary among countries. As a result, the Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) of small arms and ammunition encounter challenges posed by the stringent government norms and extensive certification processes. India has some strictest gun laws in the world. In India, prospective gun owners have to show they are trained and must secure them in a knocked down condition in gun lockers. These strict gun laws impact key players’ contracts and procurement processes across countries. The international trade of small caliber ammunition is highly controlled by many regulatory authorities such as law enforcement agencies and homeland security. Therefore, this hampers the market growth.
In the U.S., after the 2016 Presidential election, there was a continuous decline in gun sales, which affected the market. Previously, the U.S. government imposed stringent regulations on firearm ownership. According to Grifford’s Law Center, buyers had to undergo background checks to get ammunition and firearm licenses in the states of New Jersey, Illinois, Connecticut, and Massachusetts. These factors are expected to hinder the growth of the market during the forecast period.
5.56*45 and 7.62*39/54r Caliber Segment to Gain Momentum
Based on caliber, the market is segmented into 223 Remington, 308 Winchester, 9mm Luger, 45 Auto/ACP, 380 ACP, 357 Magnum, 10 Gauge, 12 Gauge, 40 S&W, 20 Gauge, 22LR, 50 BMG, 6.5 Grendel, 7.62*39/54r, 5.56*45, 0.338 Lapua, 30-06 Springfield, and others. Among these, the 22LR caliber segment holds the highest small caliber ammunition market share during the forecast period owing to the increasing use of caliber in handguns as well as rifles worldwide. The increasing use of handguns and rifles for commercial and military applications will further drive the segmental growth.
The 5.56*45 and 7.62*39 segments will continue to grow with the highest CAGR during 2022-2029. These are the popular rifle caliber ammunition used by military forces in different countries. Increasing defense expenditures and procurement of advanced rifles are expected to drive the adoption of these calibers.
The 9mm Luger segment is the most widely used handgun cartridge in the U.S. Handguns are widely used in hunting, sports shooting, and self-defense. The growing demand for pistols for a variety of utilizations is set to increase the demand for the 9mm Luger caliber.
High Adoption of Handguns and Rifles in Military and Homeland Security Operations to Drive Growth
Based on application, the market is classified into commercial and military & homeland security. The commercial segment is further grouped into shooting sports & hunting and self-defense. The military & homeland security segment held the highest market share in 2021. Increasing demand for small caliber ammunition in military modernization programs and increasing defense expenditures from several countries across the globe boost the growth of the market.
The commercial segment is projected to grow with a significant CAGR during the forecast period. This growth is attributed to the increasing demand for small caliber ammunition for sports and hunting activities in North America, especially in the U.S. The presence of a large number of shooting ranges and rising personal security concerns are fueling the growth of the market. Amid the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. has showcased the surge in gun and ammunition purchases due to personal safety concerns to 8.4 million first-time gun buyer registrations.
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Increasing Demand for Bullets for Hunting and Sports Shooting to Propel Growth
By bullet type, the market is classified into lead, copper, brass, and others. The copper bullet segment is anticipated to showcase remarkable growth owing to the extremely consistent performance and lightweight features of copper bullets. In addition, copper bullets provide accuracy and deeper penetration. Due to the high demand for environment-friendly ammunition and the utility of accuracy in commercial and military & homeland security segments, the copper segment is anticipated to drive the segmental market growth.
The lead segment is estimated to hold a considerable market share during the forecast period due to applications of lead bullets in a variety of activities such as hunting, self-defense, shooting cans or bottles, or shooting target points. Due to environmental risks of soil contamination, the utility of lead in ammunition manufacturing has been reduced over the forecast period.
North America Small Caliber Ammunition Market Size, 2021 (USD Billion)
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The market has been segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and rest of the world. The presence of key or prominent players in North America, which includes Olin Corporation, Northrop Grumman Corporation, and General Dynamics Corporation is also projected to boost the market.
Asia Pacific will witness substantial growth during 2022-2029. The growth is attributed to the rising number of terrorist activities in Asian countries, growing political conflicts, and increasing investments from several countries in defense operations and military modernization programs across the region. In 2020, the defense budgets of China, India, Japan, and South Korea were USD 237 billion, USD 61 billion, USD 49 billion, and USD 44 billion, respectively.
In Europe, the presence of key players, such as BAE Systems plc, Nammo AS, RUAG Group, and KNDS N.V., will drive the regional market growth. Growing investments in Europe from private defense companies for the development of advanced calibers are anticipated to boost the market growth.
The Middle East & Africa is set to register remarkable growth during the forecast period. This growth is owing to the increasing expenditure on defense and the strengthening of military forces by several countries such as Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Israel. Latin America is estimated to grow with a significant CAGR owing to rising defense spending from Brazil and Argentina.
Key Players Focus on Business Expansion Strategies by Securing Contracts with Defense Forces
The key Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are majorly focusing on business expansion through contracts with defense forces of different countries. In April 2020, for instance, Nammo AS signed a contract worth USD 68.3 million with the Swedish Defense Materiel Administration for the delivery of small caliber ammunition. This enables the Swedish Armed forces to strengthen their military training program. The contract covers deliveries from 2020 to 2022. In addition, in July 2020, Fiocchi of America invested USD 15 million to expand its existing production facility in Southwest Little Rock, U.S. The plant produces components for ammunition and will be converted into a full-production facility, mainly for center-fire ammunition.
An Infographic Representation of Small Caliber Ammunition Market
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The small caliber ammunition market research report provides an in-depth technical analysis of the market and majorly focuses on key aspects such as leading market players, COVID-19 effect on the market, leading technological trends, and research ideology of the product. Besides this, the report offers insights into the current market trends and highlights key industry developments & trends. In addition, the report analyzes factors that will contribute toward the growth of the market during the forecast period.
Value (USD Billion)
By Bullet Type
Fortune Business Insights says that the global market size was USD 7.90 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 9.41 billion by 2029.
In 2021, the North America market value stood at USD 4.38 billion.
Growing at a CAGR of 2.35%, the market will exhibit low growth in the forecast period (2022-2029).
The commercial segment is expected to be the leading segment in this market during the forecast period.
Increasing use of guns for personal safety is propelling the growth of the market.
BAE Systems, General Dynamics Corporation, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Aguila Ammunition, RAUG Group, Olin Corporation, Denel SOC Ltd., and Nammo AS are the major players in the global market.
North America dominated the market share in 2021.
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