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The global air and missile defense radar market size was valued at USD 6.62 billion in 2021. The market is projected to grow from USD 7.04 billion in 2022 to USD 10.99 billion by 2029, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.57% during the forecast period. The COVID-19 pandemic has been unprecedented and staggering, with air and missile defense radars experiencing lower-than-anticipated demand across all regions compared to pre-pandemic levels. Based on our analysis, the global market exhibited a decline of 36.51% in 2020 as compared to 2019.
Armed forces across the globe utilize the air and missile defense radars to track aircraft, jets, destroyers, UAVs, weapon-carrying vehicles, and many more. Radars usually operate on a broad range of frequency bands such as HF, P, UHF, L, S, C, Ku, K, Ka, and many more. The frequencies of these bands range from 3 MHz to over 110 GHz. The air and missile defense radars consist of X band and S band radars only. X band usually comes with a smaller antenna and can be utilized over smaller platforms such as boats, aircraft, and so on. S band radars are utilized for specific applications to track targets in harsh environmental conditions. The S band radars' antenna is larger than the X band radars antenna. SPY-6 is a well-known AMDR system developed by Raytheon Technologies, which comes in several variants having X band, S band, or both frequencies.
COVID-19 Hampered the Procurement and Delivery Schedule of AMDR
COVID-19 has significantly disrupted the global market. Many nations have revisited their procurement plans and changed their priorities on account of the COVID-19 pandemic. The OEMs have also faced major challenges in completing ongoing projects as per the schedule due to COVID-19 related restrictions. For example, the U.S. faced a delay of nearly one year in the delivery of the Long Frequency Discrimination Radar (LRDR). Lockheed Martin was the prime contractor under procurement. Under a deal of USD 466 million, Israel also faced a nearly one-year delay in the procurement of INS Magen from Germany. To mitigate these kinds of challenges in the future, governments have initiated several policy measures such as Production Linked Incentive (PLI) and Military-Civil Fusion.
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Technological Advancements in Fully/Hybrid Digital Beam Forming will Propel the Market Growth
Recent technological advancements in AMDR are the implementation of fully/hybrid beam forming for tracking targets in azimuth and elevation. The analog to digital converters installed in radars enhanced the range of target detection and operating flexibility compared to conventional radars. Developments in Gallium Nitride (GaN) paved the way for affordable, lightweight, and compact systems for AMDR. The quest to track more targets simultaneously has led to the development of high-density arrays installed over radars. This enables the radar to operate in a broad range of frequencies with enhanced operational efficiency.
Developments in Hypersonic Missiles will Pave the Way for Advanced Air and Missile Defense Radars
Recent advancements in hypersonic missiles by countries such as the U.S., China, and Russia have posed major challenges to the detection of such high-speed objects before the impact. Other countries, such as India, Japan, Germany, France, and Australia, have also invested in the development of hypersonic missiles. In March 2022, Russia claimed to utilize hypersonic missiles against Ukraine. The Russian hypersonic missile has the capability to reach a top speed of Mach 10 and range over 1900 kilometers. The Chinese variant of a hypersonic missile is said to have a top speed of Mach 12 and a range of 1,500 kilometers. In October 2022, China claimed to develop a smaller variant of the existing hypersonic missile that can be launched through aircraft. To counteract such threats, countries across the globe have tested several measures. For example, the U.S. had tried to use a combination of SPY-6 radar and SM-6 missiles. Therefore, advancements in hypersonic missiles will catalyze the growth of technologically advanced air and missile defense radars.
Increasing Cross-border Tensions and Rising Defense Budget for Air and Missile Defense Radars to Catalyze the Growth of Market
Over the last decade, increasing cross-border conflicts, such as a conflict between China-Taiwan, Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Palestine, and many more, have changed governmental strategies of neighboring countries as well. For instance, in June 2022, the government of Canada planned to invest USD 4.9 billion to strengthen decade-old radar systems across Canada. Besides new procurements, countries have also started collaborating with each other to have a strategic advantage over rivalries. For example, in September 2022, the Indian government urged Bangladesh to speed-up the installation of coastline radars in Bangladesh. India had offered USD 500 million lines of credit to Bangladesh for the same in October 2019. Hence, rising conflicts have increased the demand for AMDR across the globe.
Component Failures, Design Limitations, and Increased Costs of Maintenance & Upgrade Restrain Market Growth
Radar systems need to have higher operational efficiency, compatibility with different platforms, user-oriented advanced systems, and a broad frequency band. Sometimes, radars have to operate in harsh environmental conditions, which may lead to the failure of onboard components. For example, the U.S. Department of Defense has requested nearly USD 200 million for the upgrade, repair, and maintenance of 12 radars under Ballistic Missile Defense Systems (BMDS) program for FY 2023.
Besides repair and maintenance, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) reformed the military standards for radar systems in 2020. So, to match NATO standards, all the members have to install/update new capabilities to allow full interoperability during joint operations with other NATO countries. Therefore, evolving military standards and maintenance costs of defense radars may hamper the Air and Missile Defense Radar Market growth.
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Ground-based Air and Missile Defense Radars to be the Fastest Growing due to Higher Demand
By platform, the market is divided into airborne, land, and naval. In 2021, the naval segment dominated the market by having the air and missile defense radar market largest share. Land-based radars are estimated to be the fastest growing during the forecast period due to higher demand from Canada, Taiwan, Japan, India, and many more. The airborne segment is also anticipated to grow marginally due to higher demand for new fighter jets and the upgrade of onboard radars across the globe.
Rising Demand for Long Range Radars will Boost Growth of S band Radars
Based on radar type, the market is divided into X band radars and S band radars. The S band segment is expected to be the fastest growing in the forecast period due to its technological advantage over X band radars. In April 2022, the U.S. awarded a five-year contract worth USD 3.2 billion to Lockheed Martin for AN/TPQ 53 radar. The X band segment is also anticipated to grow notably during the forecast period. In September 2022, Iran planned to install a horizon radar having 3,000 km of range.
Ballistic Missile Defense to be the Fastest Growing during the Forecast Years due to Rising Ballistics Missiles Threats
Based on application, the market is divided into conventional and ballistic missile defense. The ballistic missile defense segment is projected to grow at the highest CAGR over the period of 2022-2029. Technological advancements in ballistic missiles and the rising use of such weapons will propel the growth of the segment. In March 2022, under a contract worth USD 700 million, the U.K. announced the procurement of one S band ballistic missile defense radar from the U.S. Conventional radars are expected to grow marginally due to increased investment from defense agencies across the globe. For instance, after the Russia-Ukraine war, several European countries have accelerated the procurement of air defense systems. Germany was the first country to buy an Arrow 3 missile interceptor from Israel after the war. The Czech Republic and several other countries are also planning to buy the Iron Dome system from Israel.
North America Air and Missile Defense Radar Market Size, 2021 USD Billion)
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The global market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East & Africa, and South America.
North America is estimated to be the largest market. Land-based radars in North America are anticipated to be the fastest-growing in the region. Canada announced to invest USD 4.9 billion in improving the radar defense system across Canada. The growth of the naval segment is attributed to a higher investment of the U.S. navy in the procurement and upgrade of a fleet of destroyers. In April 2022, the U.S. Navy announced to equip every warship with SPY-6 radars to track missiles and planes.
The Asia Pacific market is expected to be the fastest-growing market due to higher defense spending by countries such as China, India, and Japan. Along with the defense budget, rising cross-border tensions between China-Taiwan, India-China, South & North Korea, and so on will propel the growth of the market in the forecast period. In August 2022, Taiwan signed a contract worth USD 83 million with the U.S. for Patriot 3 air defense system. Under the contract, existing systems would be upgraded from Patriot-2 to Patriot-3, having long-range missiles.
The Europe market is estimated to be the second largest market in 2021 and is expected to grow notably on account of increasing procurements of radars as a precautionary measure against Russia-Ukraine war-like situation. In March 2022, France appointed Indra to supply PSR2 radars at three air bases located in France. PSR2 is an S band radar, and it can also operate in rugged terrain and poor weather conditions.
In the Middle East & Africa region, countries such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Israel have emerged as potential markets and catalyzed the growth of radars in the region. In September 2022, Iraq inaugurated GM400 defense radar manufactured by Thales. GM400 is an S band radar with a range capability of 470 kilometers.
The South America region is expected to grow at a significant rate due to procurements from Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, and other countries. In September 2022, the Brazilian Army received two SABER M60 radars from Embraer, which can track 60 targets at a time with a range of 60 kilometers.
Key Market Players are Focused on Providing Advanced Air and Missile Defense Radars
The competitive landscape and the continuously evolving market is consolidated in nature due to the presence of major players such as Thales Group, Israel Aerospace Industries, Lockheed Martin, Leonardo SPA, and Northrop Corporation. These major players are focusing on providing an advanced and compact AMDR for simultaneous tracking of multiple targets.
An Infographic Representation of Air and Missile Defense Radar Market
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The research report covers detailed information on the global market and focuses on aspects such as product types, recent developments, and key players. The report also provides insights into market trends in radar technologies, market competition, and market conditions by considering several ongoing and upcoming factors. Besides the above factors, the report has included several other factors to estimate the global market size.
Value (USD Billion)
By Platform, By Radar Type, By Application, and By Region
By Radar Type
Fortune Business Insights stated that the global market size was USD 6.62 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 10.99 billion by 2029.
Registering a CAGR of 6.57%, the market will exhibit rapid growth during the forecast period.
The ballistic missile defense segment is expected to be the fastest-growing segment during the forecast period.
Thales Group, Lockheed Martin, IAI, Leonardo, and Northrop Corporation are the leading players in the global market.
North America topped the market in terms of share in 2021.
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